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Statistical methods for assessing and predicting the economic impact of natural disasters
- Authors: Plyushikov VG1, Fatijev ММ1
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Affiliations:
- Peoples' Friendship University of Russia
- Issue: No 2 (2012)
- Pages: 5-15
- Section: Articles
- URL: https://agrojournal.rudn.ru/agronomy/article/view/1474
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Abstract
The different types of evaluation of economic losses in crop from natural disaster are discussed: based on information about partial areas of crop loss; based on the concept of vulnerability; based on dynamic time series; losses of crops in agricultural plants. Predicting crop damage from natural disaster at any level performed on the basis of information on this indicator for several years. It allows to create a dynamic series to determine the trend of damage and accept the method of promising extrapolation.
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About the authors
V G Plyushikov
Peoples' Friendship University of Russia
Email: v.g.plyushikov@mail.ru
Кафедра безопасности жизнедеятельностии управления природными и техногенными рисками; Российский университет дружбы народов; Peoples' Friendship University of Russia
М М Fatijev
Peoples' Friendship University of Russia
Email: v.g.plyushikov@mail.ru
Кафедра садово-паркового и ландшафтного дизайна; Российский университет дружбы народов; Peoples' Friendship University of Russia
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